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| Click on poster for a larger view. It's pretty neat! |
For unavoidable life-related reasons—nothing bad, just requiring attention—I've been absent far too long from the site. But I promise to make it up to you when I return with one doozy of a Blu-ray guide. In the meantime, how can I let this weekend, the culmination of awards season, slip by without notice? I'm not too good of a prognosticator when it comes to these things, especially when many of my favorite films aren't even nominated. Those pesky emotions get in the way, you know? Still, Indiewire found reason to ask me and some other fellow critics who we thought should and would win both the Independent Spirit awards and the Oscars. I gave it my best shot. To see the results (and what other critics participated), click here for the Spirit poll and here for the Oscar poll. Here's my individual ballot for each:
Spirits:
Best Feature
Will Win: Beasts of the Southern Wild
Should Win: Moonrise Kingdom
Best Director
Will Win: Benh Zeitlin Beasts of the Southern Wild
Should Win: Wes Anderson Moonrise Kingdom
Best First Feature
Will Win: Safety Not Guaranteed
Should Win: The Perks of Being a Wallflower
John Cassavetes Award
Will Win: Middle of Nowhere
Should Win: "The Color Wheel"
Best Screenplay
Will Win: Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola Moonrise Kingdom
Should Win: Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola Moonrise Kingdom
Best First Screenplay
Will Win: Derek Connolly Safety Not Guaranteed
Should Win: Derek Connolly Safety Not Guaranteed
Best Female Lead
Will Win: Jennifer Lawrence Silver Linings Playbook
Should Win: Emayatzy Corinealdi Middle of Nowhere
Best Male Lead
Will Win: Jack Black Bernie
Should Win: Matthew McConaughey Killer Joe
Best Supporting Female
Will Win: Ann Dowd Compliance
Should Win: Ann Dowd Compliance
Best Supporting Male
Will Win: Matthew McConaughey Magic Mike
Should Win: Matthew McConaughey Magic Mike
Best Cinematography
Will Win: Ben Richardson Beasts of the Southern Wild
Should Win: Robert Yeoman Moonrise Kingdom
Best Documentary
Will Win: How to Survive a Plague
Should Win: How to Survive a Plague
Best Foreign Film
Will Win: Amour
Should Win: Amour
Oscars:
Best Picture
Will Win: Argo
Should Win: Amour
Best Director
Will Win: Steven Spielberg Lincoln
Should Win: Michael Haneke Amour
Best Actor
Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis Lincoln
Should Win: Joaquin Phoenix The Master
Best Actress
Will Win: Jennifer Lawrence Silver Linings Playbook
Should Win: Emmanuelle Riva Amour
Best Supporting Actor
Will Win: Philip Seymour Hoffman The Master
Should Win: Philip Seymour Hoffman The Master
Best Supporting Actress
Will Win: Anne Hathaway Les Misérables
Should Win: Amy Adams The Master
Best Original Screenplay
Will Win: Mark Boal Zero Dark Thirty
Should Win: Mark Boal Zero Dark Thirty
Best Adapted Screenplay
Will Win: Chris Terrio Argo
Should Win: Tony Kushner Lincoln
Best Foreign Film
Will Win: Amour
Should Win: Amour
Best Documentary Feature
Will Win: Searching for Sugar Man
Should Win: How to Survive a Plague
Best Animated Feature
Will Win: Brave
Should Win: ParaNorman
Best Cinematography
Will Win: Roger Deakins Skyfall
Should Win: Roger Deakins Skyfall
Best Original Score
Will Win: Alexandre Desplat Argo
Should Win: Thomas Newman Skyfall
And finally, a reminder to put it all in perspective...
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